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April 17, 2008

Communist Occupation of Tibet Compared to Nazi, Soviet Era Repressions

With the recent publicity surrounding the ongoing repression in Tibet by the Chinese Communist Party, and the public protests around the world as the Olympic torch makes its way to Beijing, I have received several queries from readers about the history of conflicts between Tibet and China. 

There is a new web page on the historyguy.com site detailing some of these Sino-Tibetan Wars and Conflicts.  It is at: http://www.historyguy.com/tibet_china_wars_conflicts.html

While normally I take as neutral a position as possible while explaining world conflicts on the main historyguy.com website, and leaving my more opinionated commentary for this blog, I come down against the continued repression by the Chinese Communist Party in Tibet.  I see a distinction in identifying the brutality and evil of the occupation as sourced in the Communist ideology than in any innately Chinese cultural aspects.  When an authoritarian, dictatorial regime conquers a smaller, basically defenseless nation, it can never be justified.  I liken the Chinese occupation of Tibet with the other evil occupations of history, such as the Nazi occupation of Czechoslovakia, or the Soviet conquest of the Baltic States (Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia).

Those once-captive nations eventually regained their freedom, and one day too, Tibet may once again see the back-end of the Communist occupying forces, just as, after the 1911 Revolution, Tibet saw the last of the Manchu Imperial occupation army.   

April 09, 2008

Iran War Scenario for April, 2008

Signs point to a possible U.S./NATO/Israeli war against Iran/Syria/Hezbollah in the near future.

Tensions between Israel and Syria escalated in early April as Israel conducts nation-wide civil defense drills simulating a domestic response to a potential Hezbollah/Syrian/Iranian attack with biological and chemical weapons. This drill comes amid continued Hezbollah threats to avenge the recent assassination of one of its leaders. Supposedly in response to Israel's drill, Syria has put its military on alert.

In addition, Israel recently conducted a joint naval exercise with NATO forces in the Mediterranean Sea. France, Britain, Germany and other NATO nations, including the U.S. have been warning of Iran's nuclear ambitions this past year.

It is widely assumed in the U.S. and throughout the world, that the Bush/Cheney Administration, unsure of John McCain's chances of beating the Democrats for the White House, and unwilling to leave a potentially nuclear Iran to be dealt with by an Obama or Clinton administration, will do whatever it takes to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. As of April, 2008, only ten months remain for President Bush to act. Also, a preemptive war against Iran, if it goes well (a decidedly big IF), will likely boost Senator McCain's chances against the presumed Clinton and/or Obama Democratic ticket in November.

The recent removal of Admiral Fallon, a critic of a potential Iran War, also clears the way within the military leadership for a fully-supported effort to exercise the will of the Commander-in-Chief.

Time will tell if this war scenario plays out, but the odds are heavily stacked in favor of a wider regional war pitting the Western allies (plus Israel) against Iran, Syria, and Hezbollah.

Links and Sources:

Syria Plans Emergency Drill amid Fears of War with Israel--Voice of America, April 9, 2008

Israeli intel projects a one-month war with Syria--World Tribune.com, April 9, 2008

US Military Strike set on Iran? by W. Joseph Stroupe of the International Analyst Network, April 7, 2008

March 01, 2008

Turkish Raid on Kurd Iraq Bases Over

Turkish forces withdrew from orthern Iraq on Feb. 29, concluding an eight-day offensive in the northern Iraqi mountains against the PKK Kurdish rebels who use Iraq as a save haven.

The Turkish military claims to have killed 237 PKK rebels, while losing 27 of its own men.

Turkish_tank_in_iraq Turkish tank during the anit-PKK offensive in Northern Iraq, February, 2008.

Photo by Reuters

February 17, 2008

Kosovo Independence Highlights History of Wars with Serbia

The declaration of independence by Kosovo on Feb. 17, 2008 from Serbia brings into focus the ongoing disputes and conflicts in the Balkan region of Europe.  The hostilities between Serbia and Kosovo are long-standing and violent.  Below is a brief summary of issues between Serbs and Kosovars, along with a list of conflicts in the 20th and 21st Centuries between these two Balkan peoples.

For hundreds of years, the people of Serbia have considered the region of Kosovo to be the homeland of their history and culture. From the late 1300's until 1912 however, this area was ruled by the Ottoman Turks, an Islamic people who once controlled a vast empire. Over the course of Ottoman Turkish rule, many Serbs either left Kosovo or converted from Christianity to Islam. Also, the Albanian Muslim (a Muslim is someone who believes in Islam) population of the area grew, until the majority of Kosovo inhabitants were no longer Serb Christians.

Albanians and Serbs are quite different in terms of language, religion and culture. Ever since Serbia acquired Kosovo in the First Balkan War (1912), conflict between these two groups has erupted periodically in this disputed region.

Below is a listing of these conflicts accompanied by a brief description.

NOTE: For the purposes of categorizing these conflicts, the term "Kosovo War" is used to name the wars between Serbs and Kosovar Albanians. Also, the use of the Serb term "Kosovo" rather than the Albanian version "Kosova" is not meant to imply favoritism or bias. "Kosovo" is the name that most Americans and Westerners know the region by and that is the name used here for clarity.

First Kosovo War (1912-1913)--In the brief First Balkan War (1912-1913), Serbia, along with other Balkan nations, succeeded in ending Ottoman Turkish rule in south-eastern Europe. As a consequence of this war, Albania became independent and the largely Albanian-inhabited region of Kosovo became a part of Serbia. Serbs had long claimed this area, citing its history as a part of the Serbian Kingdom which existed in the Middle Ages.

The Kosovars had already begun a rebellion against the Turks and wished to join with the new nation of Albania. Occupying Serb and Montenegrin troops and Kosovo guerrillas clashed. In the fighting and subsequent repression, approximately 20,000 Kosovars perished, while tens of thousands more fled to other countries. Many atrocities were carried out by the "kamitadjis," Serb paramilitary forces which officially operated independently of the Serb army but engaged in brutal repression of the civilian population. Note that in the Bosnian and Kosovo Wars of the 1990's, Serb paramilitary forces in the same vein as the kamitadjis operated freely.

Second Kosovo War (1915-1918)--This conflict can be considered a part of World War One. Serbia was invaded by the armies of Austria-Hungary, Germany and Bulgaria (along with Turkey they were known as "The Central Powers"). The Serb army and government fled before the armies of the Central Powers in the winter of 1915. They marched through the mountains of Kosovo and Albania toward the sea where naval ships of the British and French (known as "The Allies") rescued them to continue the war from bases in Greece. During this retreat through Albanian-populated areas, the Kosovars exacted revenge on the Serbs for their conquest a few years earlier. Albanian guerrillas ambushed small units, killed and mutilated soldiers who became cut off from the main Serb forces and generally made the retreat as difficult as possible for the Serb army. Between the attacking Central Powers, the Albanians and the weather, roughly half of the 300,000 Serb soldiers who began the retreat never made it to the sea. The Albanian rebels, or "kaçaks" as they were called, also fought against the Austro-Hungarian and Bulgarian occupiers of Kosovo.

Third Kosovo War (1918-1924)--With the defeat of the Central Powers, Serbia joined with Montenegro and the formerly Austro-Hungarian areas of Slovenia, Bosnia and Croatia to form the new nation of Yugoslavia. The new kingdom's government and army were dominated by Serbs. The king of Serbia became the first king of Yugoslavia, and the Yugoslav army was created with the old Serb army as its nucleus.

The Serb/Yugoslav army reoccupied Kosovo in 1918 but faced resistance from the Albanian Kosovar kaçaks, who did not want a return to Serb rule. As the army re-imposed government rule, many atrocities occurred, in part fueled by Serb desire for revenge over the harassment they suffered in the retreat of 1915. Massacres and the burning of villages were tactics employed to break the back of the rebel resistance. The Yugoslav government also banned the teaching of the Albanian language in the schools and encouraged immigration of Serbs and Montenegrins into Kosovo from other parts of Yugoslavia.

The rebels based in northern Albania formed the Committee for National Defense of Kosovo, also known as the Kosovo Committee or "KK" for short. The KK smuggled arms across the border and conducted raids against government forces. In May, 1919, the KK called for a mass uprising in Kosovo, and nearly 10,000 poorly armed rebels were driven into the mountains by a Yugoslav army equipped with modern machine guns and artillery. The KK continued the guerrilla struggle from bases in northern Albania until 1924. In that year, Yugoslavia's military helped Ahmed Zogu, Albania's former Prime Minister, regain power. In 1923, the KK had aided in Zogu's overthrow from their bases in northern Albania. In return for Yugoslavia's military aid, Zogu (who later became King Zog), closed down the KK's guerrilla bases and effectively ejected them from Albania. This brought an end to the armed struggle in Kosovo.

Fourth Kosovo War (1941-1944)--This conflict can be considered a part of World War Two. In 1941, Germany, Italy and Bulgaria (the "Axis") invaded Yugoslavia and divided the country between them. Kosovo was occupied by the Italians, who attached it to Albania, which had been conquered by Italy in 1939. Most Kosovar Albanians welcomed the Italian occupiers, especially when Axis forces stood by and did not interfere as gangs of Kosovar Albanians attacked Serb and Montenegrin settlers. It is estimated that between 3,000 and 10,000 Serbs died and 30,000 and 100,000 fled Kosovo in this period. After Italy's surrender to the Allies on September 8, 1943, German forces occupied Kosovo and Albania. The Germans encouraged attacks against the Serbs and used local Albanians to help them round up local Jews for their death camps.

While no extensive resistance to the Axis developed in Kosovo, most of the central portion (Bosnia-Hercegovina and Montenegro) of the old Yugoslavia was embroiled in bloody warfare against the Germans and Italians. The Communist Partisan army of Josip Broz Tito waged an effective guerrilla campaign which tied down hundreds of thousands of Axis soldiers. Most Kosovo Albanians distrusted the Partisans due to the perception that it was a largely Serbian organization and because most Muslim Albanians were anti-Communist. Some Kosovo Partisan units were formed and began striking at Axis forces in early 1943, but by and large, the Communist Partisan organization in Kosovo was quite weak.

In order to encourage more Kosovo Albanian participation in the war against the Axis, Tito announced in January, 1944, that after the war Kosovo would have the right to secede from Yugoslavia and join with Albania. Tito never intended to abide by this declaration and when Partisan units liberated Kosovo from the Germans in late 1944, a new conflict began in the Drenica valley of Kosovo.

Drenica Rebellion (or Polluzha's Rebellion) (Late 1944-March 1945)--Shaban Polluzha was a Kosovar Albanian Partisan leader who believed Tito's declaration that Kosovo could join with Albania. When he was ordered to take his 8,000 Kosovo Partisans north into Croatia to combat German troops, he refused, sparking an attack by the Titoist Partisan army. It is estimated that 20,000 Kosovar Albanians joined his rebellion. During the fighting and later Yugoslav Partisan reprisals, some 44 villages were reported destroyed. Tito's forces put down the rebellion completely. After the war, Tito became the dictator of a Communist Yugoslavia. During his reign, Tito managed to suppress nationalist and ethnic tensions thoughout Yugoslavia.

Pristina Student Demonstrations (Spring, 1981)--After Tito's death in 1980, Yugoslavia began to show signs of dissolution. On March 11, 1981, a small university student demonstration in Kosovo's capital of Pristina turned into a general plea for democracy and Albanian nationalism. The students were somewhat influenced by the recent rise of the Solidarity movement in Communist Poland. On March 26, students and police clashed, leaving 37 injured. High school students and factory workers joined the protests demanding either Kosovo independence or union with Albania. At this point, Yugoslav special police with tanks entered Pristina. In the violence that followed, the government claims only eleven died and 57 were injured. Other reports put the death toll at hundreds. After the protests were broken up, thousands were arrested and put on trial.

It should be noted though, that administration of Kosovo was in the hands of local Albanian Communists, and this should not be interpreted as a strictly Serb-Albanian conflict. The protests were directed more at the Yugoslav government as a whole.

Sixth Kosovo War (1998-1999)--The Kosovo Liberation Army began a guerrilla war in February, 1998 against Serb Yugoslav authority. On March 24, 1999, in response to atrocities committed by the Serbs and their unwillingness to negotiate at the peace table (The Rambouillet Conference), the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) began a 78-day air campaign which succeeded in causing Serb leader Slobodan Milosovic to withdraw his army from Kosovo.

Kosovo Secession from Serbia (Feb. 17, 2008)--After existing as a UN-Administered part of Serbia since the 1998-1999 Kosovo War, the government of Kosovo declared its independence from Serbia. The Serbian government opposed this secession.

LINK: http://www.historyguy.com/kosovar_serb_warfare.html

SOURCES:

1. Judah, Tim. Kosovo: War and Revenge. New Haven: Yale University Press, 2000.

2. Ignatieff, Michael. Virtual War: Kosovo and Beyond. New York: Metropolitan Books, 2000.

3. Stavrianos, L.S. The Balkans Since 1453. New York,New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1966.

History: Independent Albania--http://www.albanian.com/main/history/independent.html

Please cite this source when appropriate:

Lee, Roger A. "The History Guy: Warfare and Conflict Between Kosovar Albanians and Serbs Since 1912"

http://www.historyguy.com/kosovar_serb_warfare.html 

Copyright © 1998-2008 Roger A. Lee and History Guy Media; Last Modified: 02.17.08

February 02, 2008

Chadian Rebels Clash with Government Forces in the Capital

Chadian rebels clash with gov't forces in capital; head toward presidential palace--Associated Press, February 2, 2008

Hundreds of rebels penetrated the capital of Chad today, clashing with government troops and moving on the presidential palace after a three-day advance through the oil-producing central African nation, officials and witnesses said.

Chad's ambassador to Ethiopia said the capital had not fallen and that President Idriss Deby was "fine" in his palace.

"The situation is under control," ambassador Cherif Mahamat Zene told The Associated Press. "The head of state is fine in his palace ... It's true that there are some rebels who have entered the city, but to say the city has fallen is false."

A French military spokesman, Col. Thierry Burkhard, said that Chadian government forces were pushing rebels away from the presidential palace but that the outcome of the fighting today remained unclear. To read the rest of the story, click the link above.

January 25, 2008

Somali Insurgents Seize Military Air Base

Analysis:  Ethiopia's war in Somalia continues to resemble a dusty version of Vietnam, or an African version of Iraq.  Unlike the U.S. though, Ethiopia does not have the financial or military resources to "Surge" in Somalia as the U.S. has done (with apparent success) in Iraq.  How is Ethiopia paying for this war, anyway?

Islamic Insurgents Briefly Capture Somali Military Airfield

By VOA News

25 January 2008

Reports from Somalia say Islamic insurgents briefly captured the nation's largest military airfield Friday, killing two soldiers and escaping with stolen weapons.

Somali army officials and witnesses say militants attacked the airport at Baledogle, about 100 kilometers south of the capital, Mogadishu.  They say the militants relinquished control after seizing weapons that were stored there.

Fighters with the al-Shabaab Islamic rebel group took credit for the attack on local radio.

Islamist insurgents have been battling the Somali government and allied Ethiopian troops for the past year.  The fighting has killed thousands and prompted an estimated 600,000 more to flee Mogadishu.

On Wednesday, militants fired mortar rounds near the presidential palace about the same time that African Union Peace and Security Commissioner Sa'id Djinnit met with Prime Minister Nur Hassan Hussein.

Djinnit presented Somali leaders with a four-point AU peace plan aimed at stopping the fighting.  The plan includes a call for greater international involvement in peacekeeping operations.

Djinnit said the 1,800 AU peacekeepers in Mogadishu are doing a "wonderful job."  But he accused the international community of abandoning Somalia.  Djinnit urged the U.N. Security Council to re-establish a peacekeeping mission.

Somalia has been without an effective central government since 1991, when warlords overthrew dictator Mohamad Siad Barre.  A number of factions have been fighting each other for control while a transitional government, set up ahead of scheduled elections, tries to assert its authority

January 24, 2008

U.S. Offers to Send Troops to Pakistan: Afghan War Expansion?

Analysis:  The U.S. is probably getting ready to cross the border to go after al-Qaida and the Taliban, but is making all of the requisite polite motions toward Pakistan's soveriegnty first.  Don't forget that the Bush/Cheney Administration will be out of office in less than a year, and they don't know who or what will replace them in the Commander-in-Chief's position.  Many analysts have harped on the possiblity they may attack Iran before they go, but more likely, in the view of the War and Conflict Journal, is a major push to crush the Islamist foe in Pakistan before next January.  And, if they find Osama bin Laden while in Pakistan, all the better.


U.S. Troops 'Ready' to Aid Pakistan
--Washington Post, January 25, 2008

The Pentagon is "ready, willing and able" to send U.S. troops to conduct joint combat operations with Pakistan's military against al-Qaeda sanctuaries in Pakistan's tribal areas, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates said yesterday.

The U.S. military is also beginning to construct as many as eight coordination centers along the Afghan-Pakistani border that will be staffed by officers from the three countries to more closely share intelligence and conduct combat operations, according to Maj. Gen. David Rodriguez, the top U.S. commander for eastern Afghanistan.

The first border center is being built at Torkham Gate in Afghanistan, a key crossing near the Khyber Pass and about 30 miles from the Pakistani city of Peshawar, Rodriguez said.

Cross-border attacks into eastern Afghanistan have dropped by more than 40 percent in the past three months, compared with the same period last winter, as Taliban and al-Qaeda fighters increasingly wage war on the Pakistani government, according to Rodriguez and a U.S. military review of border incidents.

Suicide bombings increased more than tenfold in Pakistan -- from five in 2006 to 60 last year -- while they remained relatively constant in eastern Afghanistan, according to the U.S. military data. "Insurgents are focusing more on gains and expansion opportunities in Pakistan," the assessment stated.

Gates and Adm. Michael Mullen, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, left little doubt yesterday that they believe U.S. troops -- whether in combat or as trainers -- can bolster the efforts of Pakistan's military in the rugged and lawless Federally Administered Tribal Areas, where U.S. officials say about 700 Pakistani troops have been killed battling al-Qaeda and Taliban fighters.

"If asked to assist, I think we could do a lot," Mullen said at a Pentagon news briefing.

Gates said that the possible joint combat operations, likely to involve small teams of U.S. troops, are a topic of "ongoing dialogue" with Pakistan's leaders and that U.S. troops would join in the fighting at Pakistan's request.

"They have not fully thought through exactly how they intend to proceed and their strategy going forward," Gates said. "I expect that that will happen."

Gates said al-Qaeda has allied with other extremists in the border area, possibly including Baitullah Mehsud, a tribal leader linked to the Taliban. "They clearly are much more active and working with other people," he said.

Rodriguez said Pakistani military leaders are increasingly willing to cooperate in operations on either side of the border. There is "a growing realization amongst all of them, that everybody needs to do more together," he said at a Pentagon briefing this week.

Last year, the U.S. military in Afghanistan established a shared computer link with the Pakistani military's headquarters and set up high-frequency radio communications to coordinate cross-border operations. It also surveyed Pakistani, Afghan and U.S. border positions, and stepped up training of Afghan border police.

January 01, 2008

Kenya Violence Escalates: Kikuyu vs. Luo

Post-election violence in Kenya escalated as President Mwai Kibaki claimed victory in the presidential election. As of January 1, 208, over 250 deaths were reported. International observers, as well as man Kenyans, claim the election was tainted by voting irregularities and possibly outright vote fraud.

The first deaths came as protesters took to the streets and police and troops opened fire. The violence has since escalated into open battles with clear ethnic divisions, as Kibaki's Kikuyu supporters fight against the Luo ethnic group. The losing candidate, Raila Odinga, is a Luo.

 

Violence Grows in Kenya--Wall Street Journal, Jan. 1, 2008

December 31, 2007

Palestinians Fight Amongst Each Other Again

Palestinians Die in Hamas-Fatah Battles

Once again, Palestinian factions battled it out in the Gaza Strip, as the two main factions, Hamas and Fatah, wrestle for control of the Palestinian non-state known as the Palestinian Authority. (Hamas controls the Gaza Strip, from which Hamas continues to fire hundreds of rockets at Israel), while Fatah controls the West Bank.

 

5 Palestinians Killed in Hamas-Fatah Clashes in Gaza--By VOA News, December 31, 2007

2007 Afghanistan War Casualties for U.S., Britain and Canada

In 2007, 110 American troops died fighting the Taliban and al-Qaida in Afghanistan . 925 Afghan government police also perished in the war.

British losses totaled 41 troops, while the Canadian military lost 30 troops in combat.

4,500 Taliban militants were killed in fighting,

Fighting in Afghanistan escalated in 2007, and the American casualty figures are the highest per year total since the initial invasion of Afghanistan in 2001.

110 US troops die in Afghanistan in 2007--Associated Press, Dec. 31, 2007

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